Political Economy · IR · History

Jonathon P Sine

Writing that excavates the social scaffolding

I think, read, and write about how human societies evolve, function, interact, and flourish. My focus areas include political economy, international relations, evolutionary theory, psychology, philosophy, macroeconomics, history, and finance. In 2025 I received an Emergent Ventures grant to study China. My current research focuses on state capacity, industrial policy, and the deep history of state development.

One of my driving passions is fishing for experiences that change my mental models. I've spent time in 30+ countries, often in interesting fashion, such as driving from London to Mongolia in a broken-down Nissan Micra or taking a motor rickshaw across the entirety of India. I spent most of 2024 living in China, where among other things I liberated a chicken in a rural village, and I speak Chinese at roughly HSK6 equivalent.

The body ought to be trained as rigorously as the mind. I lift weights, run, and have recently gotten into BJJ.

MA, International Political Economy — Johns Hopkins SAIS, 2020
BA, Political Economy — University of Southern California, 2016
Latest Writing
China · Political Economy · Aug 2025

Litigation Nation, Engineering Empire

On Dan Wang's Breakneck: Is China an "engineering state" facing off against America, the "lawyerly society"? The intuition is compelling, but I wanted more data. So I assembled some.

55 comments
China · Industrial Policy · Jul 2025

Industrial Colossus: China vs 1950s America

China's global manufacturing share to 2035. Lu Feng argues China resembles pre-WWI America. The analogy is faulty. China is much closer to the 1950s United States.

7 comments
USSR · History · Jul 2025

The Stalinist Transformation of Russia

A thematic review of Stephen Kotkin's Stalin: Paradoxes of Power.

3 comments
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Cogitations

Writing that excavates the social scaffolding

2,900+ subscribers · Est. 2021

August 27, 2025

Litigation Nation, Engineering Empire

On Dan Wang's Breakneck: Is China an "engineering state" against America the "lawyerly society"?

July 18, 2025

Industrial Colossus: China vs 1950s America

China's global manufacturing share to 2035. The pre-WWI analogy is faulty.

July 18, 2025

The Stalinist Transformation of Russia

A thematic review of Stephen Kotkin's Stalin: Paradoxes of Power.

July 15, 2025

The Life and Times of Xi Zhongxun

The Party's interests come first. Joseph Torigian's magisterial new biography.

June 16, 2025

From Reform to Ruin in the USSR

The Soviet Collapse: Botched reform or entrenched bureaucracy?

February 2, 2025

The Rise and Fall of LGFVs

Part 1: How China's local government financing vehicles became its most complex economic challenge.

April 2, 2024

The Cold Wind of Historical Nihilism

Lessons from CCP documentaries on the fall of the Soviet Union and what Xi learned from them.

December 2, 2022

Groping the Elephant of Common Prosperity

Common Prosperity is about Common Purpose.

“The reward of suffering is experience.”
Harry S. Truman
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Earlier Writing & Academic Papers

Essays, book reviews, and academic work from the original collection.

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If you have thoughts about my thoughts, or the ideas strike a chord, reach out.