Writing that excavates the social scaffolding
I think, read, and write about how human societies evolve, function, interact, and flourish. My focus areas include political economy, international relations, evolutionary theory, psychology, philosophy, macroeconomics, history, and finance. In 2025 I received an Emergent Ventures grant to study China. My current research focuses on state capacity, industrial policy, and the deep history of state development.
One of my driving passions is fishing for experiences that change my mental models. I've spent time in 30+ countries, often in interesting fashion, such as driving from London to Mongolia in a broken-down Nissan Micra or taking a motor rickshaw across the entirety of India. I spent most of 2024 living in China, where among other things I liberated a chicken in a rural village, and I speak Chinese at roughly HSK6 equivalent.
The body ought to be trained as rigorously as the mind. I lift weights, run, and have recently gotten into BJJ.
On Dan Wang's Breakneck: Is China an "engineering state" facing off against America, the "lawyerly society"? The intuition is compelling, but I wanted more data. So I assembled some.
China's global manufacturing share to 2035. Lu Feng argues China resembles pre-WWI America. The analogy is faulty. China is much closer to the 1950s United States.
A thematic review of Stephen Kotkin's Stalin: Paradoxes of Power.
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On Dan Wang's Breakneck: Is China an "engineering state" against America the "lawyerly society"?
China's global manufacturing share to 2035. The pre-WWI analogy is faulty.
A thematic review of Stephen Kotkin's Stalin: Paradoxes of Power.
The Party's interests come first. Joseph Torigian's magisterial new biography.
The Soviet Collapse: Botched reform or entrenched bureaucracy?
Part 1: How China's local government financing vehicles became its most complex economic challenge.
Lessons from CCP documentaries on the fall of the Soviet Union and what Xi learned from them.
Common Prosperity is about Common Purpose.
“The reward of suffering is experience.”Harry S. Truman
Essays, book reviews, and academic work from the original collection.
If you have thoughts about my thoughts, or the ideas strike a chord, reach out.